Here’s why Trump’s low polling numbers matter for the 2018 midterm elections.
Trump’s polling numbers, while never very good, have dropped to historic lows with CBC News reporting that Trump’s “approval rating has dropped to an all-time low since modern polling began, making him the most unpopular sitting president at the 200-day mark of his administration. Republicans are still largely sticking with him, but his most die-hard supporters are fewer and fewer.”
Continuing, CBC adds that: “Trump’s approval rating has consistently dropped since he took office in January. Six polls conducted over the last week (by CNN/SSRS, Gallup, IBD/TIPP, Ipsos, Rasmussen and SurveyMonkey) put his average approval rating at 37 per cent, with 58 per cent of Americans disapproving of his job performance.”
True to form, our “Tweeter-in-Chief” took to Twitter to disparage “fake news,” tweeting: “After 200 days, rarely has any Administration achieved what we have achieved..not even close! Don’t believe the Fake News Suppression Polls!”
After 200 days, rarely has any Administration achieved what we have achieved..not even close! Don't believe the Fake News Suppression Polls!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) August 8, 2017
However dismissive Trump pretends to be about current polling figures, as NBC News reports – those numbers should matter to Trump and his Republican cohorts as we get closer to the 2018 midterms, as “There’s a direct correlation between a president’s approval numbers and the number of seats his party loses in his first midterm election.”
According to NBC News, “On average, since the Truman Era, a president’s party loses more than 28 House seats in his first midterm election.”
This figure becomes all the more troublesome for Republicans considering that Democrats only need to pick up 24 seats to win back control of the House in 2018.
And the news for Republicans keeps getting worse. NBC News also reports that “in the six times when that president’s job-approval rating was below 50 percent, his party lost an average of 43.5 House seats,” which would be catastrophic for Republicans who have enjoyed stalling out government since they won control of the House in 2010 during President Obama’s first midterm election.
A lot can happen between now and the 2018 elections, so now is not the time for Democrats to be smug. However there is an easy way to insure victory:
When Democrats vote, Democrats win. It’s as simple as that.
So be sure to get out and vote during the upcoming midterms – and be sure to take 2 friends with you.