Latest Battleground Polls Indicate 4 Pathways To Disaster For The Trump Campaign

The latest battleground polls show Clinton leading Trump, indicating four pathways to disaster for his campaign.

The latest polling of 7 battleground states shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in all seven with a commanding double-digit lead in three.

The results from the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show Clinton ahead in Colorado by 14 points, Virginia by 13, Pennsylvania by 11, North Carolina by 9, Florida by 5, Ohio by 5, and Iowa by 4 points.

NBC News reports that “If those poll numbers hold with another three months to go until Election Day 2016, Trump won’t have a realistic path to 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.”

However, as NBC points out, “there are four other takeaways” from the latest polling of battleground states, “call them four different gaps.

The Education Gap:

The latest polling shows Clinton leading Trump among college-educated white voters in every battleground state except Florida, albeit that gap is narrow compared to other states with Trump leading Clinton by 2 percentage points – 42% to 40%.

Clinton leads Trump in Colorado by 32 points, Iowa by 31 points, Pennsylvania 21 points, Iowa 8 points, North Carolina 7 points, and Virginia 6 points.

As NBC News reports, this is significant: “As the Atlantic’s Ron Brownstein has noted, no Democratic presidential candidate going back to 1952 has won among college-educated whites.”

The Urban versus Rural Gap:

As NBC News reports, “Clinton is drubbing Trump in urban areas and suburbs, while Trump is ahead in rural areas. The problem for Trump: For the most part, there are many more voters in these urban areas than rural ones.”

The Gender Gap:

“Clinton is winning women by larger margins than Trump is winning among men. And Clinton is even winning among men in Colorado and Virginia,” according to NBC News.

The Party Unity Gap:

NBC reports that Democrats are backing Clinton in all seven states “by a larger margin than Republicans are behind Trump.”

In four states, Clinton’s lead among Democrats exceeds Trump’s among Republicans by double-digits.

The breakdown shows Clinton ahead in Virginia by 17 points, Pennsylvania 16 points, Colorado and Florida 15 points, Iowa 5 points, and North Carolina and Ohio 4 points.

As NBC News concludes: “If those poll numbers hold with another three months to go until Election Day 2016, Trump won’t have a realistic path to 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.”

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